Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 6.005693 6.605609 7.267488 8.057220 8.980934 10.036052 11.345430
2024-10-27 4.976529 5.750676 6.672128 7.869398 9.414380 11.386294 14.173449
2024-11-03 4.423899 5.274668 6.338381 7.802712 9.829485 12.642918 17.063657
2024-11-10 4.229364 5.187109 6.439825 8.261606 10.964215 15.058655 22.298104
2024-11-17 3.983920 4.991537 6.355903 8.428058 11.682202 16.997868 27.476651
2024-11-24 3.686662 4.689659 6.081942 8.264988 11.844144 18.047619 31.438936
2024-12-01 3.474546 4.483010 5.916129 8.233232 12.197140 19.496360 36.877299
2024-12-08 3.253060 4.242983 5.675403 8.047670 12.246358 20.374567 41.458315
2024-12-15 3.097066 4.084651 5.540591 8.013249 12.551700 21.835721 48.437974
2024-12-22 2.956055 3.937372 5.408421 7.964465 12.816741 23.279853 56.442562
2024-12-29 2.885955 3.890309 5.426895 8.173527 13.615141 26.189568 72.130639
2025-01-05 2.732379 3.705953 5.211176 7.941835 13.476149 26.759526 79.505827
2025-01-12 2.565574 3.502010 4.965804 7.663061 13.264146 27.277761 88.530144
2025-01-19 2.429980 3.340900 4.782633 7.487091 13.263910 28.450719 103.438850
2025-01-26 2.328177 3.226316 4.667449 7.425119 13.507227 30.449730 128.086323
2025-02-02 2.317639 3.255608 4.796815 7.851094 14.988293 37.174476 216.298468
2025-02-09 2.263286 3.209715 4.791189 8.005396 15.845492 42.407109 337.735773
2025-02-16 2.167910 3.090575 4.646697 7.854231 15.871228 44.450503 440.904557
2025-02-23 2.097348 3.008969 4.563885 7.824781 16.226708 48.208340 667.528663
2025-03-02 2.012367 2.898874 4.422036 7.652612 16.145901 49.959575 908.487817
2025-03-09 1.952040 2.827665 4.347219 7.620659 16.472357 54.067933 1596.819733
2025-03-16 1.894042 2.757630 4.270065 7.575366 16.752711 58.267110 3264.624065
2025-03-23 1.869156 2.743235 4.296331 7.769400 17.837267 68.567601 33385.615181